Final Words

Today's launch is strange. I tried to convince NVIDIA to release more information about Fermi but was met with staunch resistance from the company. NVIDIA claims that by pre-announcing Fermi's performance levels it would seriously hurt its existing business. It's up to you whether or not you want to believe that.

Last quarter the Tesla business unit made $10M. That's not a whole lot of money for a company that, at its peak, grossed $1B in a single quarter. NVIDIA believes that Fermi is when that will all change. To borrow a horrendously overused phrase, Fermi is the inflection point for NVIDIA's Tesla sales.

By adding support for ECC, enabling C++ and easier Visual Studio integration, NVIDIA believes that Fermi will open its Tesla business up to a group of clients that would previously not so much as speak to NVIDIA. ECC is the killer feature there.

While the bulk of NVIDIA's revenue today comes from 3D graphics, NVIDIA believes that Tegra (mobile) and Tesla are the future growth segments for the company. This hints at a very troubling future for GPU makers - are we soon approaching the Atom-ization of graphics cards?

Will 2010 be the beginning of good enough performance in PC games? Display resolutions have pretty much stagnated, PC games are first developed on consoles which have inferior hardware and thus don't have as high the GPU requirements. The fact that NVIDIA is looking to Tegra and Tesla to grow the company is very telling. Then again, perhaps a brand new approach to graphics is what we'll need for the re-invigoration of PC game development. Larrabee.

If the TAM for GPUs in HPC is so big, why did NVIDIA only make $10M last quarter? If you ask NVIDIA it has to do with focus and sales.

According to NVIDIA, over the past couple of years NVIDIA's Tesla sales efforts have been scattered. The focus was on selling to any customers that could potentially see a speedup, trying to gain some traction for the Tesla business.

Jen-Hsun did some yelling and now NVIDIA is a bit more focused in that department. If Tesla revenues increase linearly from this point, that's simply not going to be enough. I asked NVIDIA if exponential growth for Tesla was in the cards and if so, when would it happen. The answer was yes and with Fermi.

We'll see how that plays out, but if Fermi doesn't significantly increase Tesla revenues then we know that NVIDIA is in serious trouble.

The architecture looks good, Fermi just needs to be priced right. Oh and the chip needs to hurry up and come out.

The RV770 Lesson (or The GT200 Story)
Comments Locked

415 Comments

View All Comments

  • AtwaterFS - Wednesday, September 30, 2009 - link

    4 reals - this dude is clearly an Nvidia shill.

    Question is, do you really want to support a company that routinely supports this propaganda blitz on the comments of every Fn GPU article?

    It just feels dirty doesn't it?

  • strikeback03 - Thursday, October 1, 2009 - link

    I doubt SiliconDoc is actually paid by nvidia, I've met people like this in real life who just for some reason feel a need to support one company fanatically.

    Or he just enjoys ticking others off. One of my friends while playing Call of Duty sometimes just runs around trying to tick teammates off and get them to shoot back at him.
  • SiliconDoc - Thursday, October 1, 2009 - link

    If facing the truth and the facts makes you mad, it's your problem, and your fault.
    I certainly know of people like you describe, and let's face it, it is one of YOUR TEAMMATES---
    --
    Now, when you collective liars and deniars counter one of my pointed examples, you can claim something. Until then, you've got nothing.
    And those last 3 posts, yours included, have nothing, except in your case, it shows what you hang with, and that pretty much describes the lies told by the ati fans, and how they work.
    I have no doubt pointing them out "ticks them off".
    The simple fix is, stop lying.
  • Yangorang - Wednesday, September 30, 2009 - link

    Honestly all I want to know is:
    When will it launch? (as in be available for actual purchase)
    How much will it cost?
    Will this beast even fit into my case...and how much power will it use?
    How will it perform? (particularly I'm wondering about DX11 games...as it seems to be very much a big deal for ATI)

    but heh none of these questions will be answered for a while I guess....

    I'm also kinda wondering about:
    How does the GT300 handle tessellation?
    Does it feature Angle-Independent Anisotropic Filtering?

    I could really couldn't give a crap less about using my GPU for general computing purposes....I just want to play some good looking games without breaking the bank...
  • haukionkannel - Thursday, October 1, 2009 - link

    Well it's going to be DX11 card, so it can handle tessalation. How well? That remains to be seen, but there is enough computing power to do it guite nicely.
    But the big guestion is not, if the GT300 is faster than 5870 or not, It most propably is, but how much and how much it does cost...
    If you can buy two 5870 for the prize of GT300, it has to be really fast!
    Interesting release and good article to reveal the architecture behind this chip. I am sure, that we will see more new around the release of Win7, even if the card is not released until 2010. Just to make sure, that not too many "potential" customers does not buy ATI made card by that time.

    Allso as someone said before this seams to be guite modular, so it's possible to see some cheaper cut down versions allso. We need competition to low and middle range allso. Can G300 design do it reamains to be seeing.
  • SiliconDoc - Thursday, October 1, 2009 - link

    Well, that brings to mind another anandtech LIE.
    --
    In the 5870 article text post area, the article writer and tester, responded to a query by one of the fans, and claimed the 5870 is "the standard 10.5 " .

    Well, it is NOT. It is OVER 11", and it is longer than the 285, by a bit.

    So, I just have to shake my head, and no one should have wonder why. Even lying about the length of the ati card. It is nothing short of amazing.
  • silverblue - Thursday, October 1, 2009 - link

    http://vr-zone.com/articles/sapphire-ati-radeon-hd...

    They say 10.5".
  • SiliconDoc - Thursday, October 1, 2009 - link

    I'm sorry, I realize I left with you in the air, since you're so convinced I don't know what I'm talking about.
    " The card that we will be showing you today is the reference Radeon HD 5870, which is a dual-slot graphics card that measures in at 11.1" in length. "
    http://www.legitreviews.com/article/1080/2/">http://www.legitreviews.com/article/1080/2/

    I mean really, you should have given up a long time ago.
  • silverblue - Friday, October 2, 2009 - link

    Anand, could you or Ryan come back to us with the exact length of the reference 5870, please? I know Ryan put 10.5" in the review but I'd like to be sure, please.

    It's best to check with someone who actually has a card to measure.
  • silverblue - Friday, October 2, 2009 - link

    You know something? I'm just going to back down and say you're right. You might just be, but I couldn't give a damn anymore.

Log in

Don't have an account? Sign up now